Sunday, August 01, 2010

Montgomeryshire's National Assembly for Wales Candidate.

Been an important week for the Montgomeryshire Conservatives. On Thursday night we selected our candidate to contest the Assembly election on May 5th 2011. Almost 300 of us turned up at Welshpool Town Hall to elect Powys County Councillor, Russell George to carry our banner. Here's Jonathon Isaby's report.

Since the National Assembly was established in 1999, Montgomeryshire has always been held by the Liberal Democrats, in the person of Mick Bates. Mick is standing down in 2011, midst a bit of turmoil, and the new Lib Dem candidate will be a Llanfair Caereinion lamb buyer named Wyn Williams. Must admit that I really fancy Russell's chances of winning. It's going to be a full blooded battle, and I hope to play my part as one of the seconds in the 'blue corner' - in the nicest possible way of course, since the Lib Dems are now my honourable allies at Westminster.

Montgomeryshire's selection of a well-known, young, dynamic, local businessman from Newtown has injected some real interest into the whole Mid and West Wales position. Because of the way the Assembly election voting system works, its likely that three Conservative candidates will be elected to represent Mid and West Wales - either directly elected to represent one of the eight constituencies or indirectly elected to represent the whole region. If no Conservatives win constituency seats, (as happened in 1999 and 2003) either two or three 'list' members are likely to be elected. If only one Conservative wins, two list members are likely to be elected. If two Conservatives win (as happened in 2007 - Paul Davies and Angela Burns) just one list member is likely to be elected (which is how I came to lose my position as an AM). And of course, if three Conservatives win seats, its likely that no list members at all will be elected. At the last Assembly election, Conservative group leader, Nick Bourne was elected as a 'list' member. I daresay you can work out the permutations and consequences for yourself. Whatever, Russ has been selected, and I seriously fancy his chances - but its an election, and anything can happen.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Of course depending on the outcome of Mick Bates's court case on Sep 6th, there could be a bi-election before next May when Mick was due to retire anyway. Interesting times ahead!

Anonymous said...

poor Suzy Davies - what happenend?

Glyn Davies said...

Anon 1 - Best not to comment on this until after the legal issues are decided.

Anon 2 - Suzy was indeed one of the candidates, and performed very well indeed. Russ had a lot of support in the audience - and as always there can be only one winner.

Anonymous said...

My money is on Wyn Williams

Glyn Davies said...

Anon - and someone will surely bet on Wrexham to win the FA Cup!

Anonymous said...

"Anon - and someone will surely bet on Wrexham to win the FA Cup!"

And I'm sure too some idiot will bet on a Labour-come-socilist-come-tory to win in Wrexham, as my Mam says 'more money than sense.'

Interesting to hear that your selection had over 200 whilst Wrexham's had just 26 according to the BBC.

Glyn Davies said...

Anon - it was nearer 300 people who attended Welshpool Town Hall to select Russell last week. You could make a much less investment than putting a small wager on John Marek